The US government logged 308,984 potential space-junk collisions in 2017 — and the problem could get much worse

China’s Tiangong-1 space station fell to Earth on April 2, raining debris over a patch of Pacific Ocean some 2,500 miles south of Hawaii.

But Tiangong-1 is just the tip of the space-junk iceberg.

There are about 23,000 satellites, rocket bodies, and other human-made objects larger than a softball in orbit. There may also be some 650,000 softball-to-fingernail-size objects and 170 million bits of debris smaller than the tip of a pen — stuff like flecks of paint and fragments of explosive bolts.

There’s a real risk that something may smash into something else up there, and it often does. Each piece of junk is screaming around our planet at roughly 17,500 mph, or 10 times faster than a bullet. Jack Bacon, a senior scientist at NASA in 2010, told Wired that a hit by a 10-centimeter sphere of aluminum would be akin to detonating 7 kilograms of TNT.

Avoiding such catastrophic collisions is vital to ensuring humans can still access space without have their hardware or spaceships whacked by debris.

With space exploration and commerce about to boom, it’s more important than ever to keep track of all the junk.

Thankfully, the Space Surveillance Network (SSN) does just that.

Why space junk poses such a major threat

Led by the US military, the SSN uses an global network of partners to identify, track, and share information about objects in space — especially any potential close calls.

“In 2017, we provided data for 308,984 events,” Diana McKissock, a flight lead with the US Air Force’s 18th Space Control Squadron, which helps track space debris for the SSN, previously told Business Insider.

The reason the SSN pays such close attention is that just one major collision can have huge ramifications. A crash would create even more debris, meaning there’d be a much greater chance of more collisions in the future.

There’s even a hypothetical, scientifically plausible, spiraling-out-of-control scenario with space junk called the Kessler syndrome.

In a Kessler syndrome event, one collision begets other collisions, and quickly spreads debris in a catastrophic chain-reaction.

A Kessler syndrome event could create an Asteroid Belt-like field of debris in large regions of space around Earth. Those zones could wind up being too risky to fly new satellites or spaceships into for hundreds of years, which would severely limit human access to the final frontier.

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